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PTC INC. (PTC) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • PTC delivered in-line top-line and strong cash metrics: revenue $565.1M (+3% YoY), GAAP EPS $0.68, non-GAAP EPS $1.10; ARR grew 11% YoY on a constant-currency basis and free cash flow rose 29% YoY, with results “slightly better than guidance” in a continued sluggish selling environment .
  • Against prior guidance set in November, revenue landed within the $540–$570M range, while both GAAP EPS ($0.68) and non-GAAP EPS ($1.10) finished above guided ranges ($0.28–$0.52 and $0.75–$0.95, respectively) due partly to ASC 606 variability and a $0.04 non-cash tax benefit .
  • FY’25 guidance was adjusted: revenue lowered to $2.43–$2.53B (from $2.505–$2.605B) and EPS ranges trimmed; ARR growth (CC) maintained at 9–10%, and FCF held at $835–$850M; Q2’25 guide calls for ~9.5% CC ARR growth and ~$270M FCF .
  • Strategic catalysts: go-to-market realignment (verticalization under new CRO) expected to gain traction exiting FY’25; AI roadmap accelerating with ServiceMax AI launch and Codebeamer AI pilots (VW/Microsoft); capital return resuming with ~$75M buyback in Q1 and ~$75M planned in Q2 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Constant-currency ARR growth of 11% YoY to $2.277B and robust cash generation (OCF $238M, FCF $236M; +27%/+29% YoY), supported by subscription model and disciplined budgeting .
  • EPS outcomes exceeded prior guidance ranges; CFO reiterated revenue/EPS volatility under ASC 606 and noted a $5.4M ($0.04) non-cash tax benefit in GAAP EPS, while ARR/FCF remain preferred performance metrics .
  • Management advanced vertical go-to-market and AI initiatives. CEO: “we began the realignment of our go-to-market organization to align with the vertical industries we serve” and “delivered solid…ARR growth of 11% and cash flow growth above 25%” .

What Went Wrong

  • FY’25 revenue and EPS guidance were cut (revenue to $2.43–$2.53B; GAAP EPS to $3.36–$4.24; non-GAAP EPS to $5.30–$6.00), reflecting FX pressure and mix/ASC 606 dynamics even as ARR/FCF targets were maintained .
  • Operating leverage softer YoY in Q1: GAAP operating margin 20.4% (vs 21.6% Q1’24) and non-GAAP operating margin 33.9% (vs 36.2%), consistent with company emphasis on ARR/FCF amid revenue recognition variability .
  • Management highlighted a “challenging” selling environment and noted timing impacts (linearity of deferred ARR, a couple of contracts churned in Q1 but contracted to return later in FY’25); go-to-market changes will take time to fully benefit growth .

Financial Results

Headline metrics (P&L and Margins)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($M)$518.6 $626.5 $565.1
GAAP EPS ($)$0.57 $1.04 $0.68
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.98 $1.54 $1.10
GAAP Operating Margin (%)18.5% 31.0% 20.4%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)31.7% 44.1% 33.9%

Notes: Q1’25 GAAP EPS benefited from a $0.04 non-cash tax item; revenue/EPS remain subject to ASC 606 variability .

Cash Flow and ARR

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$213.8 $98.1 $238.4
Free Cash Flow ($M)$212.2 $93.6 $235.7
ARR as Reported ($M)$2,126 $2,255 $2,205
ARR Constant Currency ($M)$2,125 $2,207 $2,277

Q1’25 Revenue Mix

($M)Q1 2024Q1 2025
License Revenue$184.0 $172.8
Support & Cloud Services Revenue$330.5 $361.0
Professional Services Revenue$35.7 $31.4
Total Revenue$550.2 $565.1

Q1’25 Actual vs Prior Guidance (set Nov 6, 2024)

MetricPrior Guidance (Q1’25)Actual (Q1’25)Outcome
Revenue ($M)$540–$570 $565.1 In range
GAAP EPS ($)$0.28–$0.52 $0.68 Above range
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.75–$0.95 $1.10 Above range

Context: CFO reiterated that ASC 606 drives revenue/EPS variability and that ARR/FCF are the preferred performance metrics .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Constant-currency ARR growthFY’259%–10% 9%–10% Maintained
Operating Cash Flow ($M)FY’25$850–$865 $850–$865 Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY’25$835–$850 $835–$850 Maintained
Revenue ($M)FY’25$2,505–$2,605 $2,430–$2,530 Lowered
GAAP EPS ($)FY’25$3.68–$4.57 $3.36–$4.24 Lowered
Non-GAAP EPS ($)FY’25$5.60–$6.30 $5.30–$6.00 Lowered
Constant-currency ARR growthQ2’25N/A~9.5% New
Operating Cash Flow ($M)Q2’25N/A~274 New
Free Cash Flow ($M)Q2’25N/A~270 New
Revenue ($M)Q2’25N/A$590–$620 New
GAAP EPS ($)Q2’25N/A$0.79–$1.05 New
Non-GAAP EPS ($)Q2’25N/A$1.30–$1.50 New

Additional assumptions: FY’25 includes ~$20M cash outflows for go-to-market realignment; GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates ~25%; plan to repurchase ~$300M in FY’25 and retire $500M notes due Q2’25 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’24, Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
AI/technology initiativesFocus on core product investment and digital thread; rebalanced resources from standalone IoT/AR to core; GTM optimization outlined .Launch of ServiceMax AI (GenAI assistant); Codebeamer AI pilots with Volkswagen and Microsoft; forming aligned AI group across products .Accelerating with concrete launches/pilots.
Supply chain/tariffs/macroSelling environment unchanged and sluggish; pipeline solid .Continues to be “challenging”; forward-looking risks include tariffs, FX, interest rates, geopolitics .Stable/sluggish macro backdrop.
Product performance (PLM, CAD, ALM/SLM)PLM CC ARR +13%, CAD +10% in Q3’24; similar trends in Q4’24 .PLM +11% CC ARR, CAD +9% CC ARR; customer wins and cross-sell (Windchill+Codebeamer) highlighted .Slight deceleration but resilient.
Regional trendsLow-to-mid double-digit CC ARR growth across regions in Q3/Q4 .CC ARR growth: Americas +9%, Europe +12%, APAC +12% .Broad-based; Europe/APAC slightly stronger.
Regulatory/ComplianceServiceMax achieved FedRAMP certification, opening FA&D opportunities .Positive catalyst for FA&D.
Go-to-market realignmentAnnounced verticalization, CRO addition planned; expected near-term disruption risk conservatively embedded .Vertical GTM underway; new CRO Rob Dahdah in place; “stride” expected exiting FY’25 .Implementation phase; benefits late FY’25.

Management Commentary

  • “In Q1’25, we delivered solid year-over-year constant currency ARR growth of 11% and cash flow growth above 25%…Our products are at the epicenter of driving business transformation at our customers.” – Neil Barua, CEO .
  • “We began the realignment of our go-to-market organization to align with the vertical industries we serve…so we can increase customer value while also enhancing shareholder returns.” – Neil Barua, CEO .
  • “We expect Q2’25 constant currency ARR growth of approximately 9.5%…and Q2’25 free cash flow of approximately $270 million. We also intend…approximately $75 million of buy backs in Q2’25.” – Kristian Talvitie, CFO .
  • “Our vertical approach and organizational changes will take time to bear fruit, and we expect to be hitting our stride as we exit the year…critical to delivering sustainable, low double-digit ARR growth.” – Neil Barua, CEO .
  • “The first of these [AI] offerings will launch next week with ServiceMax…We’ve been testing generative AI features in Codebeamer with Volkswagen Group and Microsoft.” – Neil Barua, CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • AI organization and rollout: Management is aligning a central group to coordinate AI across products after successful team-led pilots; ServiceMax AI to be sold as a per-user SKU with additional features planned .
  • Competitive landscape: PTC focuses on PLM (Windchill) and ALM (Codebeamer) integration and democratizing product data across the enterprise, not moving into MES; differentiated vs Dassault/Siemens .
  • ARR trajectory: Back-half weighted year with low churn; some Q1 churn expected to return later in FY’25; sub-seasonal net new ARR until organization hits stride by Q4 .
  • Macro and pipeline: PMI uptick noted but focus remains on improving close rates against a robust pipeline; GTM discipline and vertical marketing emphasized .
  • Channel/base stability: Channel had a strong Q1; seat expansion of PLM beyond engineering (e.g., quality, supply chain, manufacturing) remains a large opportunity .

Estimates Context

  • Consensus from S&P Global for Q1’25 and near-term periods was unavailable at the time of this analysis due to a data access limit. As a result, we could not present revenue/EPS vs Street consensus. We benchmarked performance against the company’s prior Q1’25 guidance and updated FY’25/Q2’25 guidance instead .
  • Where applicable, company-stated emphasis on ARR and FCF as primary performance metrics underpins management’s guidance framework given ASC 606 variability in revenue/EPS .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Non-GAAP EPS and GAAP EPS exceeded prior guidance ranges despite a challenging sales environment; near-term narrative should focus on execution against ARR/FCF and the durability of cash generation .
  • FY’25 revenue and EPS guidance cuts are a headline risk, but ARR growth (9–10%) and FCF guide ($835–$850M) were maintained, signaling confidence in cash predictability and subscription resilience .
  • Vertical go-to-market realignment is the key medium-term driver; management expects benefits to build into late FY’25, with Q2 ARR growth guided to ~9.5% and ~$270M FCF .
  • AI catalysts (ServiceMax AI launch; Codebeamer AI pilots with VW/Microsoft) can enhance cross-sell and adoption across PLM/ALM/SLM, particularly in regulated and FA&D verticals (FedRAMP achieved) .
  • Capital allocation supportive: $75M buyback executed in Q1; ~$75M planned in Q2; intention to repurchase ~$300M in FY’25 and retire $500M notes due in Q2’25; leverage ~1.7x at Q1-end .
  • Trading lens: Expect shares to react to revenue/EPS guidance cuts vs positive cash/ARR signals; upside catalysts include verticalized GTM traction, AI monetization, and back-half ARR acceleration; downside risks include persistent macro slowness, FX, and timing of large-deal starts (ASC 606) .

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